Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 3.335627 3.536814 3.750365 3.995051 4.269094 4.568260 4.921909
2024-10-20 2.983777 3.242038 3.528552 3.873351 4.281725 4.756209 5.358888
2024-10-27 2.697122 2.983753 3.312432 3.723326 4.232475 4.856091 5.700776
2024-11-03 2.578128 2.905341 3.293736 3.799637 4.459052 5.318215 6.578589
2024-11-10 2.499997 2.867370 3.318252 3.930186 4.770984 5.943242 7.831649
2024-11-17 2.344774 2.721491 3.194523 3.855338 4.798831 6.183995 8.592188
2024-11-24 2.199262 2.577326 3.061019 3.753258 4.774792 6.345295 9.279782
2024-12-01 2.088810 2.470844 2.968631 3.698401 4.812250 6.610360 10.253344
2024-12-08 1.996001 2.381447 2.892282 3.658432 4.866709 6.915557 11.443302
2024-12-15 1.946389 2.346204 2.887030 3.721180 5.092230 7.572833 13.779080
2024-12-22 1.837830 2.224838 2.752852 3.577016 4.956291 7.525941 14.353391
2024-12-29 1.787720 2.181098 2.726314 3.596395 5.103088 8.075645 17.035860
2025-01-05 1.699701 2.088221 2.634396 3.523894 5.114445 8.433788 19.905017
2025-01-12 1.615950 1.997225 2.539817 3.439340 5.094728 8.735254 23.232564
2025-01-19 1.532277 1.902352 2.433906 3.327224 5.008530 8.866231 26.310791
2025-01-26 1.500276 1.880053 2.436182 3.398196 5.299496 10.107349 40.926101
2025-02-02 1.479667 1.873013 2.461309 3.512421 5.711492 11.999295 88.649585
2025-02-09 1.424045 1.811064 2.395648 3.456358 5.738556 12.701369 158.349458
2025-02-16 1.367830 1.745660 2.320612 3.376105 5.696713 13.156897 328.659989
2025-02-23 1.323341 1.696010 2.268218 3.333782 5.740425 14.022416 13150.300751
2025-03-02 1.284309 1.652922 2.224017 3.303021 5.808844 15.097745 NaN
2025-03-09 1.263640 1.636971 2.223564 3.357575 6.113304 17.755445 NaN
2025-03-16 1.213623 1.573504 2.139993 3.238436 5.923940 17.480954 NaN